Saturday, October 31, 2009

2009 NFL Week 8 Picks

Last week I went 6-7 and am now 52-51 on the season. My lock of the week, Pittsburgh, covered and I am now 5-2 with that pick. I should have done much better last Sunday, considering it was the worst day ever for Vegas.

Sunday, Nov 1, 2009

1:00 PM Houston Texans (4-3)
-3.5
at Buffalo Bills (3-4)
This Texans team is starting to come on, although I have no idea what that was last week in the second half. I expect them to come out and handle their business knowing that if they really want to make the playoffs, this is a must win.

1:00 PM at Chicago Bears (3-3)
-13.5
Cleveland Browns (1-6)
This line should be a little bit higher as Cleveland is that bad. Where did you go Matt Forte?

1:00 PM at Dallas Cowboys (4-2)
-9.5
Seattle Seahawks (2-4)
It's always more fun to root against the Cowboys. Seriously, though, they are a dysfunctional offense and need to fire their coach. Most over-rated 4-2 team.

1:00 PM at Detroit Lions (1-5)
-3.5
St. Louis Rams (0-7)
This is mostly based on Stafford and Megatron playing and them being at home.

1:00 PM at Indianapolis Colts (6-0)
-12.5
San Francisco 49ers (3-3)
The Colts are looking very good and I expect for the 49ers to give them somewhat of a fight, but once the Colts get an early lead, this one will be over.

1:00 PM at New York Jets (4-3)
-3.5
Miami Dolphins (2-4)
Revenge game for the Jets. I like them to have a fired up Rex Ryan that won't let the defense get exploited like that again.

1:00 PM at Baltimore Ravens (3-3)
-3.5
Denver Broncos (6-0)
The Ravens do not have a great defense any more, but at home, I like them to get over a Broncos team that will finally have a let down.

1:00 PM at Philadelphia Eagles (4-2)
-2.5
New York Giants (5-2)
Against the Redskins on MNF, the Eagles should have dominated them, but instead they got an early lead then fell asleep. I'm betting that they're still the same team two weeks in a row.

4:05 PM at Tennessee Titans (0-6)
-2.5
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-3)
The wildcard in this game is Vince Young, but if it took Jeff Fisher this long to play him, then that can't be a good thing.

4:05 PM at San Diego Chargers (3-3)
-16.5
Oakland Raiders (2-5)
The Chargers should win this game in a blowout, so that means I'm going to fade them. Again, what's up is down and what's down is up with the Chargers.

4:15 PM at Green Bay Packers (4-2)
-3.5
Minnesota Vikings (6-1)
The Favre-Bowl should be a good one... I like the Vikings to bounce back and win.

4:15 PM at Arizona Cardinals (4-2)
-9.5
Carolina Panthers (2-4)
Remember when Jake Delhomme started his slide into unemployment? It was last year's playoffs versus this Cardinals team. This one could be just as bad.

Monday, Nov 2, 2009

8:30 PM at New Orleans Saints (6-0)
-9.5
Atlanta Falcons (4-2)
After last weekend, you just can't bet against the Saints. Michael Turner has quietly been disappointing as he's only averaging 3.4 yards per carry and has only 1 hundred yard game. If they can't run the ball, this Saints defense could feast in the pass game.

Thursday, October 22, 2009

2009 NFL Week 7 Picks

Last week I went 7-7 and am now 46-44 on the season. My lock of the week, Jets, didn't cover or win; I'm now 4-2 with that pick. My survivor pick, Eagles, lost and I have no way of explaining why. I'm finished in that pool and won't make any more picks there. Thanks for nothing Eagles... I hope your Phillies lose.

Sunday, Oct 25, 2009

1:00 PM Green Bay Packers (3-2)
-7.5
at Cleveland Browns (1-5)
The Packers have serious issues protecting Aaron Rodgers and they've really done nothing to warrant getting this many points.

1:00 PM San Diego Chargers (2-3)
-4.5
at Kansas City Chiefs (1-5)
The Chargers are not a good team and they just lost to the Broncos at home, that means you back them on the road. They are totally unpredictable and when they're down, they're up and when they're up, they're down.

1:00 PM at Houston Texans (3-3)
-3.5
San Francisco 49ers (3-2)
The Texans have a porous pass defense, but the 49ers can't exploit that. The Texans run defense has actually been good in their last 3 games. I think this game could be a blowout because if the Texans get on the board early, the 49ers will have no way of putting points on the board in a hurry.

1:00 PM Indianapolis Colts (5-0)
-13.5
at St. Louis Rams (0-6)
The Colts are on a roll and I don't see the Rams slowing them down. This one could get ugly.

1:00 PM at Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2)
-4.5
Minnesota Vikings (6-0)
The Vikings are due for a let down and now they're outdoors in Pittsburgh. Why can't the Steelers expose the Vikings defense just like the Ravens did?
*Lock of the week

1:00 PM New England Patriots (4-2)
-14.5
at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-6)
This game is in London, so weird things could happen. I think Belichick puts on another show and the Pats are back to rolling up chumps and knocking out suckers.

4:05 PM at Carolina Panthers (2-3)
-7.5
Buffalo Bills (2-4)
These two teams are close, so I'm going Bills. Ryan Fitzpatrick may be what the Bills needed. I think the Panthers will ram the ball down the Bills throat, but these teams are not good.

4:05 PM New York Jets (3-3)
-6.5
at Oakland Raiders (2-4)
The Jets have done nothing to deserve this big a line. Sanchez will be forced to make plays and I just can't back him right now.

4:15 PM at Cincinnati Bengals (4-2)
-1.5
Chicago Bears (3-2)
This game should really be the Bengals favored by 3. This Bengals team can do everything the Bears do, but better. Don't let me down Ochocinco.

4:15 PM at Dallas Cowboys (3-2)
-3.5
Atlanta Falcons (4-1)
This Cowboys team is the Chargers of the NFC, minus the explosive pass game... give me the Falcons.

4:15 PM New Orleans Saints (5-0)
-6.5
at Miami Dolphins (2-3)
The Dolphins can slow teams down (see the Colts game) and I really feel like the Saints are due for a down game.

8:20 PM at New York Giants (5-1)
-7.5
Arizona Cardinals (3-2)
The Cardinals don't have the weapons to do to the Giants what the Saints did. I'm going with the Giants because I just think they're the better team and I don't see the Cardinals defense being that good against the Giants pass game.

Monday, Oct 26, 2009

8:30 PM Philadelphia Eagles (3-2)
-7.5
at Washington Redskins (2-4)
The Eagles losing to the Raiders is awful and the Redskins are awful, but with his job on the line I give the Redskins a punchers chance. If Zorn loses this one, he might as well hire a kid that plays Madden to take over the play calling.

Saturday, October 17, 2009

2009 NFL Week 6 Picks


Last week I went 9-5 and am now 39-37 on the season... finally over .500! My lock of the week, Atlanta, covered and won by 35 points; I'm now 4-1 in that pick. My survivor pick, Pittsburgh, won and I'm up to 5-0 in that pool. Survivor pools, where there are 9 teams to pick on every week.

Sunday, Oct 18, 2009

1:00 PM at Cincinnati Bengals (4-1)
-4.5
Houston Texans (2-3)
The Bengals can run the ball (Cedric Benson your leading rusher over AP) and the Texans can't stop the run, advantage Bengals. The Bengals can and do shutdown #1 WRs, advantage Bengals. The Texans can't run the ball, advantage Bengals. Please give me good reason why the Texans should cover when they can't even get out of their own way. This Texans team changes its mind so many times about who it is... clearly a female trait.

1:00 PM at Green Bay Packers (2-2)
-13.5
Detroit Lions (1-4)
This Lions team is looking decent and it's without Megatron and Stafford. I don't like the Packers offensive line, so I'm taking the points. Come on Detroit, 2 wins!

1:00 PM at Minnesota Vikings (5-0)
-2.5
Baltimore Ravens (3-2)
The Ravens won't lose three in a row, Ray Lewis won't let them. Time for Favre to take off the Wranglers and earn his keep.

1:00 PM at New Orleans Saints (4-0)
-3.5
New York Giants (5-0)
I want to believe this Saints team is better than the old Saints teams, but until I see it happen against a consistent Giants team, I'm not taking them. Reggie Bush, do you still exist?

1:00 PM Carolina Panthers (1-3)
-3.5
at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-5)
These two teams suck and I feel bad for their fans. Bucs just because they're at home and dogs. Josh Freeman, hope you're ready.

1:00 PM at Washington Redskins (2-3)
-6.5
Kansas City Chiefs (0-5)
In my season preview I wrote about the Redskins, "first team to fire their head coach." That's right, I saw this train wreck coming from a mile away. This Chiefs team showed me signs of life against Dallas. Fire Zorn! Fire Zorn! Fire Zorn!

1:00 PM at Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3)
-9.5
St. Louis Rams (0-5)
Mike Sims Walker couldn't play because he was hooking up with some chick... hope he doesn't make the same mistake twice. The Rams offensive line makes me want to puke like Balloon-Boy.

1:00 PM at Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2)
-14.5
Cleveland Browns (1-4)
I just have to take the points because the Steelers are showing they don't like playing defense in the second half of games. Mendenhall, you better show FWP who the real bottom bitch of the Steelers run game is.

4:05 PM at Seattle Seahawks (2-3)
-2.5
Arizona Cardinals (2-2)
The Seahawks looked great last week with Hasselbeck back and the Cardinals really showed some moxy in the second half of their game with the Texans as they coughed up a 21 point lead.

4:05 PM Philadelphia Eagles (3-1)
-14.5
at Oakland Raiders (1-4)
Just too many points here to pass the Raiders up. Hopefully JaMarcus gets hurt.

4:15 PM at New York Jets (3-2)
-9.5
Buffalo Bills (1-4)
The Jets are going to lose 3 weeks in a row. They will stomp the Bills. To think TO should have stayed in Dallas...
*Lock of the Week

4:15 PM at New England Patriots (3-2)
-9.5
Tennessee Titans (0-5)
Tempted to take the points here, but the Pats offense is based around the pass and the Titans absolutely can not stop the pass. Vince Young, time to start working on that Hall of Fame resume.

8:20 PM at Atlanta Falcons (3-1)
-3.5
Chicago Bears (3-1)
I like the Falcons to stay hot and smack the Bears at home on the turf. Last year this game was a great one... I want an encore.

Monday, Oct 19, 2009

8:30 PM at San Diego Chargers (2-2)
-4.5
Denver Broncos (5-0)
The Chargers are last in the NFL in rush yards per game (53.8) and their defense is soft (see the Steelers game). I think the Broncos can run the ball, pass it enough, and will absolutely stop the the passing game of the Chargers. Never trust Norv Turner... never.

Friday, October 16, 2009

The Best Sports Writing of the Year


This article in the New Yorker has to win the Pulitzer for sports writing this year. "How different are dogfighting and football?" is the subtitle of the article, but it's about so much more.

Offensive Play


Malcolm Gladwell is one of the best writers of our time.

Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Does Anyone Know A Good Wrecker?


Have you ever seen a truck get stuck in mud?

At first the driver doesn't realize what he's doing, he thinks he's just slowing down. He tries to go faster, hoping this is just a small patch of mud and there's firmer ground near. But the more he tries and the further he goes, the more he's sealing his fate. This continues until all he can do is spin his wheels and hear his engine rev. Then he looks outside his window and wonders, how did he get himself in this situation and how the hell is he going to get himself out?

The Astros need a manager.

They have several options... 10 really.

Manny "Second" Acta: Former Washington Nationals manager... was signed as an Astro at age 17 (as if that even matters)

Tim Bogar: Boston Red Sox first base coach... former Astros player up until 2001

Dave Clark: The Astros interim manager after Cecil Cooper was fired... wait, we fired Coop before the season ended?

Phil "Scrap Iron" Garner: Former Astros manager who "led" the team to the '05 World Series... Hey I know him

Pete Mackinan: Philadelphia Phillies' current bench coach... Yeah, I've barely heard of him.

Bob Melvin: Former Diamondbacks and Mariners manager... 2007 NL Manager of the Year

Brad Mills: Boston Red Sox bench coach... who?

Al Pedrique: Astros' minor league field coordinator... because the Astros have such a good minor league system

Randy Ready: Padres' hitting coach... They teach hitting in San Diego? Raaaaaaaaandy!

Ned Yost: Former Brewers manager... led the team to the playoffs last ye--, oh wait, they fired him, then went to the playoffs

My ideal candidate would be someone who would openly criticize the owner, president, and gm on a daily basis on their lack of ability to get him the players to win games. He would also call players out for not hustling (Carlos Lee) and get on them for not playing the game the right way on every pitch. I, like Richard Justice, want Jim Fregosi, damn it! This is a clip from Justice's column on Fregosi...

According to baseball gossip, McLane asked him: “Do you still have a fire in that big old belly?”

Fregosi assured him he still did have a fire.

“What would you do if I hit in you in that big old belly?” McLane is said to have asked.

“Well,” Fregosi apparently told him, “first, I'd laugh, and then I'd knock you on your (bleep).”

Anyone willing to knock Uncle Drayton on his ass is ok in my book. But that will never happen... I digress. I'm not sure if any of the current candidates fit the mold, but I sure know who doesn't and that's Phil Garner.

Phil Garner is a team man and knows what the current Astros management is all about... over paying for under performing players as long as butts are in the seasts. He'll take orders from management in exchange for being re-hired and stick to the party line. He's also good at soothing the media with stories and is a favorite with Milo Hamilton. Maybe I just don't want "Scrap Iron" because Richard Justice does (Justice takes stupid pills 9 out of 10 days before he writes his column or blog).

You look at the list, start to think about the roster, and you quickly realize that none of these men will fix this team. None of these potential managers will fix Kaz Matsui's anal fissures. None of them will fix Miguel Tejada's aging (he doesn't even know how old he is) bat and glove. And none of them will fix the starting pitching. The problems of this team are bigger than filling out a lineup card (something Garner has trouble doing) and deciding when it's time to go to the bullpen. So what does this team need?

This team needs a plan.

The current management has been running out the same roster of players every year expecting a different result, which according to Einstein, is the definition of insanity. And frankly, how could you not go insane watching Geoff Blum, Mike Hampton, or Russ Ortiz?

I'm for this team president (Tal Smith) and gm (Ed Wade) getting rid of everyone on the roster except for Michael Bourn, Hunter Pence, Wandy Rodriguez, and Bud Norris, or them being fired in place of someone who will get rid of everyone else and start from scratch. Berkman is a DH, Matsui is overpaid, Tejada is not the future, Blum is a warm body, Lee is an American League player and costs a boatload, Roy Oswalt would probably fetch multiple prospects considering what teams will give up for Cliff Lee, and the 4, 5 pitchers in the rotation are constantly re-treads (see Russ Ortiz and Mike Hampton). The future of this team is potentially Tommy Manzella at SS, Chris Johnson at 3B and Jason Castro at C, so what's stopping the team from starting the youth movement now? I realize you can't just get rid of Matsui or Carlos Lee because their contracts are so big, but try damn it.

If this team is heading in the right direction, they'll be awful next year as multiple young players learn at the major league level and management is able to see what they really have. I really wish I was a fan of the Pittsburgh Pirates right now because their management isn't playing around as they've shipped everyone of their players with value out in exchange for a roster full of young talent. Most think the Astros have more money than the Pirates, so they don't have to go this extreme, but they really do. Trim all the fat and start from scratch and build the farm system. The Astros farm system is currently a joke and ranks last or next to last in most experts' opinions.

Here is ESPN's Keith Law's take on the Astros farm system with their last place ranking as of January this year before the season began and excluding this year's draft of course...
30. Houston Astros: Houston's farm system looks like General Sherman marched through it, then turned around and marched through it again just to be sure the job was done. The Astros' 2007 draft class might turn out to be one of the worst in history: They had no picks in the first round (for Carlos Lee) or second round (for the now-retired Woody Williams), and they failed to sign either their third- or fourth-round pick (one of whom, Georgia Tech shortstop Derek Dietrich, looks like a sure top-50 pick for 2010). Two of the top six players they did sign were released in October, and their top signed pick, Colin Dellome, just posted a .305 OBP in high-A at age 22. Their 2008 draft was better -- not that it could have been worse -- with two promising high school arms in Ross Seaton and Jordan Lyles and one solid catching prospect in Jason Castro. The organization's decision to turn its back on Venezuela might reflect the nation's political instability, but it also leaves the Astros among the least-advanced teams in international scouting. There are lean times ahead in Houston, and even a massive shift toward rebuilding won't stop the oncoming drought.
In a seasonal review of the team, here's what Baseball Prospectus writer Eric Seidman said of the team...

Perhaps the failure on display this season and the barren farm system will work to help convince Wade that the roster needs to undergo an extreme makeover. Oswalt and Berkman both needed to be packaged in deals last year to extract premium returns, and nobody else on the current roster aside from Pence could even bring back anything worth acquiring. The time has come for the Astros to look at themselves in the mirror and accept the fact that they will need to experience a few losing seasons for the betterment of the organization. If they fail to reach this epiphany, expect more of the same in the coming years.

If you have ESPN Insider, I encourage you to read the rest of the article, which is really rather depressing, but honest.

I'd rather see the Astros suck for 5 years in a row knowing the team will be good for the decade after, than see a team spin its wheels year after year.

I also have no problem with Uncle Drayton selling the team (yes, there have been rumors of such a thing happening this off-season) to someone who will pay to have this team over-hauled or simply spend his way out of this problem ala the Yankees or Red Sox.

In the end, it doesn't matter who the Astros hire as their new manager because until they fix the real problems within this organization they'll just be spinning their wheels, thinking they're getting closer to firm ground. My message to Uncle Drayton is to blow the team up and call a wrecker because you're in way over your head.

Tuesday, October 13, 2009

DJ Steve Porter - "Press Hop"



One of the best YouTube clips ever.

Friday, October 9, 2009

2009 NFL Week 5 Picks

Last week I went 8-6 last week and am now 30-32 on the season. Not bad, but not yet in the green. My lock of the week (NY Giants) hit and I am now 3-1 in that pick. My survivor pick (Chicago Bears) also hit so I'm up to 4-0 there and very much alive. This year there are so many bad teams that 1/3 of your pool might all go undefeated. Lots of underdogs this week...

Sunday, Oct 11, 2009

1:00 PM at Buffalo Bills (1-3)
-6.5
Cleveland Browns (0-4)
The Bills are the better team (I think), but they're not this much better. I like Derek Anderson's ability to look down field and rookie WR Mohamed Massaquoi might be breaking out. The Bills can not figure out how to use TO, Lee Evans, Lynch, and F-Jax all in unison.

1:00 PM Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2)
-10.5
at Detroit Lions (1-3)
This line could be 20 and I still might take the Steelers. They're too good and Mendenhall is the answer their run game has been looking for. FWP used to stand for "Fast Willie Parker" now it stands for "Fast Wally Pipped."

1:00 PM Dallas Cowboys (2-2)
-8.5
at Kansas City Chiefs (0-4)
This Cowboys team has the potential to lose this game if they try hard enough. Having Wade Phillips doesn't hurt.

1:00 PM Minnesota Vikings (4-0)
-10.5
at St. Louis Rams (0-4)
The Vikings can not get any hotter and be flying any higher, while the Rams can't be any colder and flying any lower... thus, you take the Rams. This is a classic letdown game.

1:00 PM at New York Giants (4-0)
-16.5
Oakland Raiders (1-3)
I'm taking the Raiders only because there's a chance that David Carr starts for the Giants. David Carr vs JaMarcus Russell... wow, it could get ugly, sure hope the Giants offensive line shows up to run the ball.

1:00 PM at Philadelphia Eagles (2-1)
-13.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-4)
McNabb and Westbrook are back and this team is at home. Josh Johnson, welcome to a real NFL defense.

1:00 PM at Carolina Panthers (0-3)
-3.5
Washington Redskins (2-2)
I don't like either of these teams, but the Panthers have the worse defense, so I'm going with the Redskins.

1:00 PM at Baltimore Ravens (3-1)
-8.5
Cincinnati Bengals (3-1)
In a classic divisional backyard brawl, I like the Bengals to keep it close and play above themselves as the TEAM they are turning into.

4:05 PM at San Francisco 49ers (3-1)
-2.5
Atlanta Falcons (2-1)
This game should be close and when the game is on the line, who do you trust more, Shaun Hill or Matty Ice? I'm going Matty Ice.
*Lock of the Week

4:15 PM at Seattle Seahawks (1-3)
-0.5
Jacksonville Jaguars (2-2)
The Jags have the better QB, better run game, and are playing hungry.

4:15 PM at Arizona Cardinals (1-2)
-5.5
Houston Texans (2-2)
If this becomes a shootout, I have no faith in the Texans defense to make even one stop. Of course, just when I think they're going to lose, they fool me again...

4:15 PM New England Patriots (3-1)
-3.5
at Denver Broncos (4-0)
The Broncos have faced some crappy teams on the way to becoming undefeated, but that defense is for real and they'll give Tom Brady fits. I think Knowshon Moreno is the difference.

8:20 PM Indianapolis Colts (4-0)
-3.5
at Tennessee Titans (0-4)
This game will be close and I think the Titans will be winning late, but Peyton Manning is just too good. He'll figure out how to win the game when it matters. Donald Brown, your time has come.

Monday, Oct 12, 2009

8:30 PM New York Jets (3-1)
-1.5
at Miami Dolphins (1-3)
This game will be close because the Jets advantage of blitzing the QB won't matter as the Dolphins don't care about the passing game. If the Dolphins can stick to running the ball, they should be in it till the end. I think Sanchez's arm is the difference. Braylon Edwards, here's your chance to impress.

Survivor Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Saturday, October 3, 2009

2009 NFL Week 4 Picks


Last week I went 5-11 and was flat out awful. On the season I'm 22-26 and really need to pick it up. My lock of the week did not hit with Houston and I'm 2-1 on that front. My survivor pick (NY Giants) did win and I'm 3-0 there... still alive!

Sunday, Oct 4, 2009

1:00 PM at Chicago Bears (2-1)
-10.5
Detroit Lions (1-2)
This is more about the Lions letdown than it is about the Bears. Anytime you want to show up, Matt Forte, is fine with me.

1:00 PM Cincinnati Bengals (2-1)
-5.5
at Cleveland Browns (0-3)
This might be the worst team in the NFL. I do think that Derek Anderson is the better QB, but generating 3 picks to prove it versus Quinn is still scary as hell.

1:00 PM at Indianapolis Colts (3-0)
-8.5
Seattle Seahawks (1-2)
The Seahawks are an ok team, but they don't do one thing particularly well. The Colts can pass all day and mix in Addai/Brown. Freeney will be missed, but it's still Seneca Wallace.

1:00 PM New York Giants (3-0)
-9.5
at Kansas City Chiefs (0-3)
This Giants team can run the ball, pass the ball, stop the pass, and is decent at stopping the run right now. I can't see how the Chiefs can run the ball to take advantage of this one area. This line could be 20 and I might still take the Giants.
*Lock of the week

1:00 PM at Washington Redskins (1-2)
-7.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-3)
The Redskins have their backs up against the wall and Zorn's job is on the line. I think they come out looking for blood after that Lions loss. Is Josh Johnson really going to keep this game close?

1:00 PM Tennessee Titans (0-3)
-2.5
at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2)
This is the best 0-3 team I've ever seen. The Titans have to have this game.

1:00 PM at Houston Texans (1-2)
-9.5
Oakland Raiders (1-2)
Who is this Texans team and what have they done to deserve to be a 9.5 point favorite over anyone?

1:00 PM at New England Patriots (2-1)
-2.5
Baltimore Ravens (3-0)
This is more about who the Ravens have beat (KC, SD, and CLE) than anything. I don't like any of those teams and the Pats have at least taken out the Falcons.

4:05 PM at New Orleans Saints (3-0)
-6.5
New York Jets (3-0)
Drew Brees wants you to blitz, he needs to blitz, he's begging you to blitz. Really this is more about the under-rated Saints defense. Can the Jets score enough to keep it close on the road, on turf?

4:05 PM Buffalo Bills (1-2)
-1.5
at Miami Dolphins (0-3)
Chad Henne welcome to the NFL! I think the Bills will win this one big behind Fred Jackson, Lynch, Evans, TO, and Trent Edwards, who all break out. I'm not even sure the Dolphins have 1 WR worth naming. The Dolphins are basically the wildcat and Ronnie Brown.

4:15 PM Dallas Cowboys (2-1)
-3.5
at Denver Broncos (3-0)
Come on Denver! The Cowboys have Jason Witten to throw the ball to and that's about it. Welcome in Champ Bailey and Brian Dawkins. This Broncos defense is for real and I'm willing to bet on it. Ryan Clady is the best OL you've never heard of.

4:15 PM at San Francisco 49ers (2-1)
-10.5
St. Louis Rams (0-3)
This number is just too high for me when the 49ers don't have Frank Gore. The Rams might be able to move the ball with Boller.

8:20 PM at Pittsburgh Steelers (1-2)
-6.5
San Diego Chargers (2-1)
The Steelers need this game more than the Chargers do. The Chargers have a bad coach who will leave them emotionless in this game on the road. I believe the Steelers are ready to punch someone in the mouth and then stomp them out.

Monday, Oct 5, 2009

8:30 PM at Minnesota Vikings (3-0)
-3.5
Green Bay Packers (2-1)
I don't have much good to say about the Packers offense. If Rodgers can somehow take over this game and make it a shoot-out then the Pack can cover and win. As is, I see a Vikings defensive parade.

Survivor Pick: Chicago Bears